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Probability

Basic Concepts

  • Experiment: An action with uncertain outcome
  • Sample Space (S): Set of all possible outcomes
  • Event (E): Subset of sample space
  • Favorable Outcomes: Outcomes that satisfy the event

Probability Formula

  • P(E) = Number of favorable outcomes / Total number of outcomes
  • Range: 0 ≤ P(E) ≤ 1
  • Impossible event: P(E) = 0
  • Sure event: P(E) = 1
  • P(not E) = 1 - P(E)

Types of Events

  • Independent Events: P(A and B) = P(A) × P(B)
  • Mutually Exclusive: P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)
  • Complementary Events: P(A) + P(not A) = 1

Important Formulas

  • Addition Rule: P(A∪B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A∩B)
  • Multiplication Rule: P(A∩B) = P(A) × P(B|A)
  • Conditional Probability: P(A|B) = P(A∩B) / P(B)

Common Examples

  • Coin toss: P(Head) = 1/2, P(Tail) = 1/2
  • Dice roll: P(any number) = 1/6
  • Playing cards: Total = 52, Suits = 4, Each suit = 13
  • Two dice: Total outcomes = 36

Playing Cards

  • Total cards = 52
  • Red cards (Hearts, Diamonds) = 26
  • Black cards (Clubs, Spades) = 26
  • Face cards (J, Q, K) = 12
  • Number cards = 40
  • Aces = 4

Quick Tips

  • Always find total possible outcomes first
  • For "at least one" problems, use P(E) = 1 - P(none)
  • For independent events, multiply probabilities
  • Probability is always between 0 and 1